Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.340295 3.686583 4.061762 4.499824 4.999000 5.552119 6.214164
2025-09-21 2.809648 3.265680 3.793369 4.454119 5.266365 6.241398 7.514360
2025-09-28 2.401093 2.890239 3.482322 4.260958 5.271776 6.559150 8.355014
2025-10-05 2.200597 2.727287 3.389416 4.297511 5.533917 7.194025 9.654722
2025-10-12 2.061234 2.619227 3.344036 4.375419 5.840733 7.905168 11.143294
2025-10-19 1.946182 2.527594 3.304857 4.447835 6.135491 8.621004 12.733051
2025-10-26 1.845868 2.444259 3.265061 4.508530 6.410709 9.330594 14.413017
2025-11-02 1.750006 2.357497 3.210103 4.536877 6.633149 9.976898 16.083442
2025-11-09 1.621853 2.214508 3.061456 4.407862 6.591184 10.184491 17.013455
2025-11-16 1.526368 2.111634 2.962909 4.344947 6.644756 10.550894 18.282968
2025-11-23 1.451085 2.033074 2.894194 4.321269 6.757454 11.027568 19.837117
2025-11-30 1.417736 2.014594 2.914800 4.441703 7.125388 12.003621 22.569529
2025-12-07 1.351132 1.942647 2.849200 4.417275 7.242582 12.541989 24.521093
2025-12-14 1.285832 1.868889 2.775818 4.373429 7.319922 13.014123 26.428402
2025-12-21 1.196401 1.752193 2.625792 4.184742 7.108300 12.881239 26.898340
2025-12-28 1.158750 1.715721 2.604458 4.220489 7.325915 13.656228 29.738765
2026-01-04 1.131472 1.694175 2.606043 4.296643 7.629113 14.654469 33.393866
2026-01-11 1.104988 1.672237 2.605151 4.367420 7.928181 15.687332 37.420458
2026-01-18 1.078201 1.648174 2.598769 4.426736 8.209219 16.721431 41.748320
2026-01-25 1.047935 1.616562 2.577050 4.454436 8.425519 17.635277 45.991251
2026-02-01 0.995533 1.544802 2.480281 4.328353 8.294269 17.677425 47.477772
2026-02-08 0.956385 1.494036 2.418381 4.266860 8.300155 18.066399 50.236340
2026-02-15 0.925301 1.455824 2.377113 4.243715 8.390271 18.687229 54.000790